Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers shows how the five-time US Open champion starts better than anyone on serve

If Roger Federer were a sprinter, he would be the fastest to get out of the blocks.

An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of the current Top 20 winning the first point of their service games and progressing to 15/0 compared to losing the first point and dropping to 0/15 reveals that Federer has been the most successful at getting the fastest start this season.

Federer won his opening-round match at the US Open on Monday night, defeating Indian qualifier Sumit Nagal 4-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-4. He was slightly below his season average for the match, winning the opening point 67 per cent (12/18) of the time.

Of the 12 times he won the opening point, he won every service game; of the six times he lost the opening point, he was broken three times.

At the Miami Open presented by Itau in March and April, Federer was at his ruthless best moving to 15/0 instead of dropping to 0/15 when serving. He successfully navigated to 15/0 50 times in 61 service games (82%).

He was also above his season average the tournament before, at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, where he made the final, moving to 15/0 40 of 54 times (74.1%).

The most recent tournament Federer won was the NOVENTI OPEN in Halle in June, where he moved to 15/0 73.3 per cent (44/60) of the time.

Roberto Bautista Agut is not renowned for his big serving, so it’s particularly impressive to see him fifth best in this category out of the current Top 20. The Spaniard is enjoying his career-best ATP Ranking at No. 10 and won the Qatar ExxonMobil Open in January.

Bautista Agut has averaged winning the opening point of his service game 69.6 per cent (471/677) of the time this season, but that elevated to 75.4 per cent (43/57) when he won the ATP 250 event in Doha.

It’s just one point, but the first point of your service game clearly influences the weather for the points immediately following it.


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